Week of prediction* | Initial reproduction number | Initially susceptible individuals (×105) | Total number of cases (×105)†| MAE‡ |
---|---|---|---|---|
15 | 1.14 (0.88, 1.40) | 113083 (0, 256710827) | 26778 (25826, 27749) | 663 |
18 | 1.18 (1.10, 1.28) | 391 (218, 741) | 573 (66, 1637) | 1.9 |
21 | 1.15 (1.07, 1.21) | 754 (0, 2225) | 183 (105, 261) | 0.6 |
24 | 1.15 (1.09, 1.20) | 716 (540, 1104) | 175 (100, 251) | 0.6 |
44 | 1.13 (1.09, 1.18) | 834 (664, 1149) | 188 (101, 274) | 0.5 |